Monthly Market Bulletin

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What Next ???

MARKET Weekly Outlook

Gold: Gold may gain on concern about European sovereign debts and rising holdings in exchange-traded funds. Nineteen of 26 traders, investors and analysts surveyed said bullion would rise next week. Six forecast lower prices and one was neutral. Gold will trade in $1145-$1180 range in resistance levels and $1124-$1086 in supports.

Silver: Silver is substantially higher. We expect more volatility in Silver than Gold. Silver support is at $16.48 and $16.17, with resistance at $17.46 and $18.01.

Crude: Fifteen of 40 analysts said oil will increase through March 12. Fifteen more respondents predicted that futures will decline. Ten said there will be little change in prices. Next week Market will trade in range bound in Crude depending on Inventory. Above $80 is best buying levels for the Targets of $85-$87. Some corrections in the Market can be seen to $78-76.

Copper: Continued strength in most base metals prices has occurred ahead of improving fundamentals. Anticipation of an improved international economic environment is likely to remain a powerful factor limiting any pull back in the Copper prices to 348.00-363.00 levels.
 


MCX Gold APR:
Now support for the Gold is seen at 16830 and below could see a test of 16725-16485. Resistance is now likely to be seen at 17015, a move above could see prices testing 17185-17360.

S1:16830 S2:16725 S3:16485
R1:17015 R2:17185 R3:17360
 

MCX Crude Oil MAR: Now support for the Crude is seen at 3610 and below could see a test of 3426. Resistance is now likely to be seen at 3746, a move above could see prices testing 3800-3950.

S1:3610 S2:3505 S3:3426
R1:3746 R2:3800 R3:3950


MCX Silver MAY:
Now support for the silver is seen at 26675 and below could see a test of 25800. Resistance is now likely to be seen at 27150, a move above could see prices testing 27475-27925.

S1:26675 S2:26251 S3:25800
R1:27150 R2:27475 R3:27925
 

MCX Copper APR: Now support for the Copper is seen at 328.65 and below could see a test of 312.70. Resistance is now likely to be seen at 342.95, a move above could see prices testing 363.00

S1:328.65 S2:323.25 S3:312.70
R1:342.95 R2:348.00 R3:363.00


MCX Zinc MAR:
Now support for the Zinc is seen at 101.85 and below could see a test of 98.65-95.00. Resistance is now likely to be seen at 106.75, a move above could see prices testing 108.80-113.95.

S1:101.85 S2:98.65 S3:95.00
R1:106.75 R2:108.80 R3:113.95
 


26 Analysts Surveyed about Next week Gold Position.
 

 19

6

 1

 


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Upcoming Important Data Reports

MAR 9th:
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism:
Previous: 46.8%, Forecast: 48.9%
Actual > Forecast = Good for Dollar

MAR 10th:
Crude Oil Inventories:
Previous: 4.1M, Forecast: 1.5
Actual > Forecast = Good for Dollar

MAR 11th:
Trade Balance:
Previous: -40.2B, Forecast: -40.8B
Actual > Forecast = Good for Dollar

MAR 11th:
Unemployment Claims:
Previous: 469K, Forecast: 453K
Actual < Forecast = Good for Dollar

MAR 11th:
Core Retail Sales m/m:
Previous: 0.6%, Forecast: 0.1%
Actual > Forecast = Good for Dollar

MAR 11th:
Retail Sales m/m:
Previous: 0.5%, Forecast: -0.1%
Actual > Forecast = Good for Dollar

MAR 11th:
Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment:
Previous: 73.6%, Forecast: 74.0%
Actual > Forecast = Good for Dollar

MAR 11th:
Business Inventories m/m:
Previous: -0.2%, Forecast: 0.2%
Actual < Forecast = Good for Dollar

 

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